Here and Now

Friday, June 29, 2007

Invasion of the Party Snatchers

Goldwater's speechwriter, Vic Gold, has a new book out called "Invasion of the Party Snatchers" that discusses how the NeoCons and the Religious Right destroyed the Republican Party. Bill Moyers recently interviewed him here. It was a powerful interview, and well worth watching. Agree or disagree, it's compelling stuff, and says something about how far afield we've traveled from where we were. Today's "conservatives" bear NO resemblance to Barry Goldwater, or, I would argue, even Ronald Reagan. Vic Gold's take on it? He figures that Ron Paul is the only one that Goldwater would even recognize as his style of conservative. And he figures Goldwater wouldn't even want to be part of such as system as today's. Check it out and let us hear what you think!

Sunday, June 24, 2007

Republican Renaissance?

A great article from the Republican Renaissance blog regarding why the Ron Paul candidacy is important for the future of the Republican Party. Check it out here.

Saturday, June 16, 2007

Which Election Is It?

History has a way of repeating itself. What I can't figure out is which election this is a repeat of.

In 1964, a feisty Southwestern conservative beat out a a liberal New Yorker and a moderate named Romney for the Republican nomination. No, it's true. Really!

The parallels seem too perfect. Giuliani plays the role of Nelson Rockefeller. Mitt Romney gets to play his own dad (every actor's dream role), and you get to decide who gets to play Barry Goldwater. Some suggest John McCain for the role, and as a sitting Arizona senator with a gruff exterior, he seems natural, but I think Ron Paul has the out-of-the-mainstream conservative thing down better, and therefore is a better representative of what Goldwater represented. Anyway, Barry Goldwater, Jr. has been helping Ron Paul with fundraising, so it seems a better fit. Regardless, it's easy to see how these characters could bring up reminiscences of 1964.

And yet, even with so many of the characters in place for a repeat, I can't quite believe it's going to happen that way.

The reason is that this isn't 1964. Economically and emotionally, we're as far from 1964 as imaginable. This is 1976. In 1976, people were worried about gasoline prices and the housing market, were recovering from political scandals, were war-weary, and were desperately seeking change. Sound familiar? Yet, the Republicans, the party in power at the time, didn't get that, and nominated the man who least resembled real change, Gerald Ford. Also, a similar tune to what I hear from the party regulars. "Stay the course" is the mantra heard most often in the Republican debates. For while most of the nominees didn't want to be too closely associated with George W. Bush, few had any significant differences with his policies.

So, what happens when we put 1964 candidates into a 1976 environment? Ah, that's the question isn't it. No one really knows. Throw in a little 2004 Howard Dean internet and our view of the outcome becomes even more cloudy.

This might be another election where a "stay the course" candidate like Gerald Ford is put up against an unexpected upstart like Jimmy Carter (played by Barack Obama? Bill Richardson?). Or it may not. It may be John McCain's year. Or it may not. It may be a "perfect storm" kind of year for an outlier like Ron Paul. Or it may not.

The only thing we know for certain is that this will be a nail-biter. It's an election with weighty issues and strong differences of opinion nationwide. And the nation hasn't yet decided. One thing I do know: "stay the course" is not likely to get anyone to the White House.


The Future for Liberty

Gary North has posted an outstanding column here, comparing Ron Paul's drive toward the presidency to the role played by Barry Goldwater here, or Mahatma Gandhi in India. Surprising comparisons, yet they ring true. Definitely worth reading!

Tuesday, June 12, 2007

Conservatives in Flux

Has anyone noticed that conservatives have no home? Somewhere over the past decade, the conservative movement has gotten shredded, and we're just starting to notice.

The Harriet Miers incident alerted some to their "change of status" in the Republican Party, but most did not finally awaken until last week's amnesty proposal.

The way I see it, the conservative movement is sorely in need of grounding. We must go back to core principles, if only to remember what we stand for, and why. Or, for those who never had principles, to dig deep and find some. Otherwise, there's no telling what the outcome might be. The coming election will be a turning point in this nation's history, and if our movement has no direction, Hillary Clinton will determine the course. Luckily, at least a few conservatives realize this.

Earlier this week, four leading conservatives outlined some of the core principles of conservatism and asked the presidential candidates on the Republican ticket to sign them. So far, only Rep. Ron Paul has signed. Gov. Mitt Romney has announced that he will not sign, and the group loudly announced their rejection of the candidate.

This group of conservatives includes David Keene of the American Conservative Union and Richard Viguerie, a direct mail genius. I remember these two gentlemen from the early years of the conservative movement. They were essentially the advance team that laid the groundwork for Ronald Reagan before the 1980 election. Joining them is Bob Barr, one of the leaders of the Clinton impeachment proceedings and Bruce Fein, a Reagan administration attorney. For those who have not been involved in conservative politics, the names may not mean much, but let me assure you that these men represent the history of the conservative movement.

I'll be watching to see if any of the other candidates sign the pledge. I'm also going to be watching to see whether the conservative movement can rebuild itself. It appears that its strength has atrophied. Otherwise, how could we see Rudy Giuliani, Mitt Romney, and John McCain dominating the Republican Party? And with the cooperation of supposedly conservative voices.

Conservatives have been purged. They don't know it yet, but their place in the Republican Party is history. Unless....

Yes, perhaps the tide will turn. This is going to be a story to follow.

Monday, June 11, 2007

Alexander Listening to Iraq Study Group

Tennessee Senator Lamar Alexander is introducing a motion with seven other Senators to adopt the Iraq Study Group recommendation, which would move American soldiers out of a combat role in Iraq, and leave Americans there only to advise and train Iraqis.

The Iraq Study Group Report has been sitting on a shelf for many months. Why the sudden desire to bring it back? The opposition of 70% of Americans to continuing the same policy may explain part of it, and the impact of Rep. Ron Paul's presidential campaign may explain the rest. Americans seem to be flocking to Paul's proposal to leave Iraq. Perhaps the Senators see in the Iraq Study Group a way to capitalize on that energy without directly endorsing Paul's proposal.

Regardless of the motivations, it's great to see some movement. "Stay the course" is perhaps a steady strategy, but not always a productive one. At some point, we need to re-evaluate whether it is in our national interest.

Sunday, June 10, 2007

Colin Powell Joins Ron Paul and Condi Rice

Colin Powell now has joined Ron Paul and Condi Rice in advocating a reasonable (read: nuclear attack-free) foreign policy with respect to Iran. In a Sunday Meet the Press interview, Powell advocated talks not only with Iran but with all states neighboring Iraq, in an effort to achieve a reduction in violence and a greater likelihood of peace.

He also criticized Vice President Dick Cheney and others in the administration who are looking to do an end-run around the President and push for more aggressive tactics. It is rumored that President Bush, along with Secretary of Defense Gates and Secretary of State Rice are unified in their opposition to attacking Iran.

Perhaps even core Republicans are finally waking up to the damage this war is doing not only to our image around the world, but to our own nation. We are a nation divided, and Abraham Lincoln had very significant things to say about that status.

Friday, June 08, 2007

Bomb, Bomb, Bomb, Bomb, Bomb Iran

John McCain got himself in trouble earlier in the campaign for singing the Beach Boys adaptation with that line that came out of the 1979 Iran Hostage Crisis. It's hard to know if it was just his singing voice that got him in trouble, or if people are a lot more uptight today about the idea of bombing Iran. In 1979, no one really took seriously the idea that we might bomb Iran. The song was an opportunity to vent our frustrations, because we knew that saner heads prevailed and that bombing wouldn't happen until all alternatives had been exhausted. Today, 27 years later, talk of bombing Iran is taken a bit more seriously, as can be seen from the most recent Republican debate and comments in a Washington Post article or two. They assert that 9 of 10 Republican candidates advocated using nuclear weapons to keep Iran in line. Only Congressman Ron Paul opposed the use.

I listened to the debate, and I didn't hear quite that level of rhetoric, but there was a less than comforting level of aggressive intent expressed toward the Iranians. The typical line was that "all options should be left on the table," a line that is both sensible on its face and distressing upon deeper reflection.

Certainly, there's little point in having nuclear weapons if one is not prepared to use them, or to at least threaten to use them, if things get out of control. On the other hand, shouldn't we look to the future "leader of the free world" to be the one who is able to assess accurately when things are and are not "out of control"? Do we now talk about nuclear weapons every time there's a border skirmish? Is there some level of war talk that borders on the excessive? Is it ok to threaten nuclear attack if another country is sending weapons to rebel groups that are engaged with our soldiers? With that criteria, I'm curious how soon some of these guys will begin talking about bombing Paris.

Let's face it: Iran is no great friend of the United States. The Europeans will never understand, and youth of America may not either, but any of us who are over the age of 40 still have vivid memories of the American hostages being held in Iran. We also know that the Iranian government today is essentially the same government that held our citizens. Recent images of British sailors held in a similar way only serve to remind us of Iran's unchanging ways. So, perhaps all the talk about bombing Iran should be no surprise. Nor should discussions of moving the war effort over to Iran.

For some time, I've felt that this might be sensible - perhaps more sensible than going into Iraq in the first place. Recently, however, my views have changed markedly. As I've studied the situation, it appears that Iran is far less of a real threat than they let on, and it also seems that our talk of bombing and war only serve to strengthen the extremists within Iran.

Iran is a weak power today. They do have the ability to kidnap a random Westerner here and there. But their military strength was apparently such that Saddam was able to brutalize their army fairly regularly in past decades. Moreover, recent information seems to suggest that the country under Ahmedinejad has been practicing a type of Keynesian economics that is heading the economy into a brick wall, with inflation skyrocketing and jobs scarce. With economic collapse on the horizon, the erratic leader would seem to be on the way out.

Yet, if the U.S. continues to threaten Iran with nuclear attack and pre-emptive war, aren't we playing right into the hands of the most extreme elements of the Iranian society? The one who stands to benefit most from talk of a war is Ahmedinejad, who, in the absense of hostilities, is destined to play the role of a failed ex-leader. If he can get a war going before the next election, or at least hear enough sabre rattling from the "enemy", he can appeal to patriotism and unity to gloss over a failed administration, and hold on to power. I can't imagine that this is what we want.

In fact, reports suggest that President Bush, Secretary of State Rice, and Secretary of Defense Gates all agree with my assessment. Apparently, they recognize that war with Iran at this time is not only unpopular with Americans, but also counter-productive to American interests. Despite this fact, there remain some within the administration who continue to push for immediate war with Iran.

In light of our information about the state of Iran's economy, wouldn't it pay to engage the Iranians in much the same way Reagan did with the Soviets? If it is true that the system is falling apart, shouldn't we give the new "evil empire" a way out? Wouldn't that be preferable to a state of "permanent war"?

Let's hope sanity prevails. War is never a good thing. Sometimes it is necessary. But it is always costly. And in this case, it would be a strategic error, too.

Wednesday, June 06, 2007

Commentary on the CNN Republican debate

The third Republican debate was undoubtedly the worst of the three so far. This was in no small measure due to the design that CNN created. Many complained about the other two, but in my mind, the imperfections of those were little enough to keep to myself. The CNN debate, on the other hand, shone a bright light on its limitations.

My primary complaint is the way CNN spent virtually all their time interviewing (yes, I said interviewing) the supposed front-runners. There was no room for, and in fact no intention of, bringing debate into the evening's activities. Furthermore, any efforts by the people other than the "big 3" to speak were cut off by CNN.

Isn't this supposed to be about Rudy McRomney, you ask? Aren't they the ones who are likely to become the Republican nominee this year? Frankly, I don't buy into it. I remember when the unknown Jimmy Carter gained his party's nomination. I remember when the crazy, nutjob right-wing wacko Ronald Reagan took the title (that's what the press typically called him). I remember when an unknown kid from Hope, Arkansas named Clinton became the Democrats' choice. None of these were front-runners in the beginning. They weren't even considered viable candidates. The idea that we must now choose from among Giuliani, McCain and Romney is ludicrous. And, the more I hear from them, it becomes more and more amazing that anyone would imagine that we would select from among them.

At this stage of the contest, a full 18 months before the election, no one imagines that the average voter is paying close attention. No one believes that poll numbers today mean much more than awareness of a candidacy. This is when most of us are just beginning to learn about the candidates. So, for CNN to become the final arbiter of who is and who isn't a viable candidate this early is nothing more than arrogance. They believe they know what's best for us, and a candidate who has meaningful ideas is apparently not what is best, if we take the CNN actions as a guide.

Mike Huckabee's campaign put together an interesting analysis of how much time was given to each of the candidates to speak. It turns out that Giuliani, McCain, and Romney each got fully twice as much time to talk as nearly any of the other candidates. Is that reasonable, when a majority of voters are still interested in hearing what the candidates have to say?

The interesting thing is that we saw something last night. Or perhaps I should say we saw nothing. We saw just how meaningless the debate would be if it were among Rudy McRomney. When the other candidates were excluded, McCain and Romney put us to sleep, and Giuliani ranted about his one topic, a topic, it's becoming clearer and clearer, that he just doesn't know that much about.

It's interesting that we continue to rate Huckabee, Tom Tancredo, Ron Paul, and Duncan Hunter as second tier, because they came out looking much stronger than the supposed front-runners last night. Sure, each has their limitations, but they seem far more electable than the "big 3". Anyway, isn't this the time we ought to be hearing from the candidates we don't know? How many of us want to hear more of John McCain? Like him or not, we ought to have some idea where he stands by now. I don't mind hearing more from Romney, because he's still an unknown quantity. Still, I must admit that none of his answers have yet clarified any of his positions or thought processes for me. He seems as aimless as he ever did.

And Giuliani? Ah, yes. We definitely ought to hear more from him. The more I hear him talk, the more I learn that he doesn't know a thing about foreign policy. If you think about it, that makes sense, since he's mayor of a city, and has never made a real foreign policy decision in his life. At least Senators and Congressmen grapple with these issues from time to time.

When Ron Paul first began to go after Giuliani on foreign policy, I thought it seemed like a dangerous move. After all, this is Rudy Giuliani here, the expert on terrorism. But the reading list that Dr. Paul offered to Giuliani showed the depth of Paul's understanding of terrorism and the weakness of the mayor's thoughtless positions. Last night, his attempt to sell us on the idea of training our troops for a recurring agenda of "nation-building" made it clear to me just how little Rudy knows about the realities of war and foreign policy.

Nation-building is not something that we avoid simply because we don't want to do it, or simply because we haven't trained our troops well enough. It's something we avoid because history has shown us that any nation who tries to engage in nation-building fails. This is why conservatives have vehemently spoken out against the Wilsonian idea of nation-building for generations. It can't be done. And if it could be done, it wouldn't be done by the brute force of occupation troops, which is all that his design calls for.

Rudy Giuliani is gearing up to turn our military into a world police force. Don't take my word for it. Listen to his own rhetoric. Nation-building, in his mind, is the purpose for our military. I hope the young men and women serving heard and understood what he was saying.

So, CNN, listen to these words. In the next debate, we want to hear from ALL the candidates. We don't need CNN to narrow our choices down for us. We'll handle that ourselves, thank you. If anything, we need to hear from the candidates we don't know more than the ones we do. With CNN in charge, we'd never have had a President Carter, a President Reagan, or a President Clinton. Whatever one thinks about those men and their respective careers in office, it should be clear that the media doesn't always know who might be able to win, and even possibly become a great president.


I haven't got time for a blog

Apparently, writing meaningful stuff takes time, and I don't have any. Yet, here I am, finally giving in to the urge to blog. Sad, isn't it.

CNN is my motivation tonight, and while I've put this off for a full two years, they finally gave me the push to "let my voice be heard".